California May Go Republican [UPDATE]

by DemocracyRules

California is known as a very strong Democrat state.  But maybe not this time.  Schwarzenegger is a Republican, and only a handful of Californians belong to Code Pink.

This interesting piece from "RedStater' is based on the advance poll voting.

About an equal number of Democrats and Republicans have voted so far.

"99,000 Republicans have voted and 96,000 Democrats voted. In the mail-in balloting the results so far are that 9,000 Democrats sent in their ballots and that 5,000 Republicans did so. So with nearly 210,000 people having voted,the Democrats have only a 1,000 vote advantage !

If we take the liberty of assuming that all Republicans will vote for John McCain and all Democrats will vote for Obama, then the race is incredibly close. I'm sure that Obama will eventually win in California, but if he is struggling here after he pushed so hard for early voting, then he will lose the election ! Everybody thought he would win California in a landslide, but so far anyway, it's very tight. That means that in the less liberal states he is in real trouble."

I think RedStater is missing something.  I think about 80% of Democrats will vote for Obama.  But about 20% of Democrats, 100% of Republicans, and about 70% of independents will vote for McCain.  Thus, I predict McCain will take California. Americans are never as stupid as the MSM think they are. 

Remember, Socialists/Marxists/Communists denigrate and belittle the common man. They think the average person is weak, stupid, irrational and selfish, and has to be forced to "do the right thing".  That's why they think big government and state control is so vital.

But for more than 2 centuries, the American people have proven the arrogant socialistic elites to be wrong.  There is far more wisdom in the average American's quiet pragmatism than in the foolish groupthink of the socialistic chattering classes.

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UPDATE: Goggle trends for California only in October.  Palin leads in every city and town in California for which there are data.  Google searches don't translate directly into votes, but they do prove that Californians are more interested in Palin than any other candidate.

Pro Patria

Comments

[rrobin]

Maybe this will help. Here is quite a comprehensive file on Barack Hussein Obama: http://colony14.net/id41.html

[Jeff]

I'm gonna bookmark this post just so I can laugh at it next Tuesday.

[Joe]

That's a very bold prediction. California is now as reliably Democrat as it once was Republican, and will sheepishly vote for Obama, but I would be only more than happy to be wrong.

[Gawfer]

As a Californian,

I can tell you the heartland of CA is very conservative; however, the majority of the state population resides in the L.A. basin and has such a liberal bent, Marxism is the rule, not the exception.

I hope your right, DR. but I won't hold my breath