A video of Osama bin Laden will supposedly be released soon. JawaReport has the latest, including a link to the audio already released. I'm with Charles Johnson of Little Green Footballs, who writes: "I remain 97.33% convinced that bin Laden’s been dead for a long time."
Based on a comparison of old and "new" video of Bin Laden posted at Allahpundit, Bin Laden must have access to Grecian Formula in his cave (his beard is now black and trimmed) but he seems to be wearing the same outfit and possibly standing in front of the same backdrop as in 2004. (The color of the backdrop is similar but the texture may be different.) The identical or virtually identical outfits are rather odd.
We'll have to see how convincing the new video is, and whether it shows Bin Laden referring to current events. The change in the beard by itself doesn't convince me of anything. That would be too easy to fake.
Update 1: Red Alerts notes (via Gateway Pundit) that several jihadists with websites seem to be engaging in odd, possibly worrisome behavior, including posting a jihadist suicide note and signing off to "move to another country."
Update 2: An interesting hypothesis: If the beard is a fake put on for purposes of the video, Bin Laden may be living beardless in a part of the world where many men do not have beards.
Update 3: The tape appears to refer to recent events, such as election outcomes in the U.S. and France. Let the possibility prompt all decent, civilized nations to redouble their resolve to bring this murderer's mangy hide to justice.
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